Created Date Wednesday, 02 March 2016
Filesize 648 Kilobytes

Borderless Higher Education 2011

Perspectives on the Future: The Observatory on Borderless Higher Education, UK.

The launch of the Borderless: Perspectives on the Future series appropriately marks the start of a new decade for the Observatory on Borderless Higher Education, as well as what might be considered its second phase. Featuring personal reflections on the ʻbig issueʼ trends now facing borderless higher education, this inaugural Borderless version overviews change witnessed in the year just gone and predicts what to expect in the year ahead.

Created Date Wednesday, 30 April 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 459 Kilobytes

Causal layered analysis Deepening the Future (Sohail INAYATULLAH 2005)

This article is from Sohail Inayatullah, Questioning the Future: methods and tools for organizational and societal transformation. Tamsui, Tamkang University Press, 2005/7.

Created Date Tuesday, 29 April 2014
Modified Date Wednesday, 02 March 2016
Filesize 298 Kilobytes

Climate Futures (Jennifer M. GIDLEY 2009)

This paper points to the value of broadening the palette of approaches to climate change futures beyond the dominant methods of empiricist predictive trends and expert scenarios. The climate change discourse is contextualized within the field of futures studies and explores potential points of dialogue between a number of futures approaches and the most prominent of the climate protection work. Plus a case study of community based participatory approaches involving community scenario writing and community visioning is introduced. This enacts a collaborative engagement between futures researchers and climate-vulnerable communities.

Created Date Friday, 02 May 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 176 Kilobytes

Evolution of Consciousness and Paradigm Change (Jennifer M. GIDLEY 2013)

The last few years have seen leading thinkers in many fields of scholarly endeavour (including complexity science, ecology, education, futures studies, integral studies, philosophy, psychology, spirituality studies and systems theory) claim that the fragmented, mechanistic and materialistic ways of thinking of the last century are no longer sustainable. As Einstein put it a century ago, "the significant problems we have cannot be solved at the same level of thinking with which we created them."

Several attempts to create knowledge-bridges between disciplines have emerged in the second half of the 20th century. These approaches seek to counterbalance the excesses of fragmentation, specialisation and reductionism in the dominant worldview.

Created Date Wednesday, 30 April 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 1.24 Megabytes

Foresight Maturity Model (Terry GRIM 2009)

Abstract
This paper offers an approach to address the absence of a measurement system for the futures / foresight discipline. The measurement system, based on a successful model used for other complex disciplines, provides a developmental approach for foresight practices. The Foresight Maturity Model (FMM) defines best practices for the foresight field and measures the competency of those practices. It's intended to support practitioners as well as consumers of foresight services.
Keywords: foresight, measurement, practices, taxonomy, improvement

Created Date Wednesday, 02 March 2016
Filesize 1.77 Megabytes

Future Higher Education USM 2007

University Sains Malaysia (USM) Study of HIgher Education Futures

The five scenarios we have conceptualised will surely have implications on the way we operate and approach the business of providing quality education. In a nutshell, these five alternative scenarios describe three main paradigms on the possible future of higher education in USM: (1) the market-centred paradigm, as envisioned in the student-led a' la carte university, invisible university, and state-led university, (2) financial-centred paradigm, as envisioned in the corporate-led university, (3) and creator-centred paradigm, as envisioned in the scholar-led (autonomous) university.

Created Date Wednesday, 30 April 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 877 Kilobytes

Futures of Education for Rapid Global-Societal Change (Jennifer M. GIDLEY 2012)

Education today in most of the world is more suited to the nineteenth century industrial era than it is to the twenty-first century. There are three key aspects to this insight. Firstly, knowledge is evolving. The fragmentation of knowledge through specialization is widely regarded as being unsuited to the complexity of the twenty-first century by scholars and thinkers from many fields Yet education is still largely a piecemeal affair.

What do today's educators know about, and think about, these challenges? What is the role
of educational futures in these major developments? How can education transform itself to incorporate these new insights?

Created Date Tuesday, 29 April 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 1.35 Megabytes

Futures Studies Theories and Methods (Sohail INAYATULLAH 2013)

Futures studies is the systematic study of possible, probable and preferable futures including the worldviews and myths that underlie each future. In the last fifty or so years, the study of the future has moved from predicting the future to mapping alternative futures to shaping desired futures, both at external collective levels and inner individual levels.

Created Date Tuesday, 29 April 2014
Modified Date Wednesday, 02 March 2016
Filesize 412 Kilobytes

Giving Hope Back (Jennifer M. GIDLEY 2005)

Extensive pdychological literature has linked hopelessnenss with depression and suicide risk for decades. A strong research and clinical base exists to target depression but there is a gap in psychological literature for targeting hopelessness, specifically. In the absence of such literature, this paper draws on research from the Futures Studies field which also records a rise in hopelessness, negativity and fear of the future among young people in the West. These phenomena will be analysed using Causal Layered Analysis, a methodology from futures studies, pointing to the long-term psycho-social impact on youth of the materialistic worldview that unferpins Wester culture. the paper will also ecplore the question "How can hope for the future be promoted?"

Created Date Wednesday, 30 April 2014
Modified Date Wednesday, 02 March 2016
Filesize 171 Kilobytes

Global Youth Culture (Jennifer M. GIDLEY 2002)

Youth of the 21st Century: Children of the Monoculture. Attempts to classify 'youth' as a group belies the inherent diversity and heterogeneity, as well as the burgeoning individuality, of contemporary youth. This article presents the limitations of the current definition of 'youth' in light of some psycho-social perspectives, including alternative images of youth since the Middle Ages plus a critical analysis of the construct of youth including multiple diverse constructions across a range of cultures.

Created Date Thursday, 01 May 2014
Modified Date Wednesday, 02 March 2016
Filesize 165 Kilobytes

Globalisation and its Impact on Youth (Jennifer M. GIDLEY 2001)

Globalisation is a series of powerful processes that provide both opportunites and threats. The development model thrust upon the 'developing' world by the West, in the name of modernisation has been regarded for decades by many non-western sholars and activists as cultural imperialism. Globalisation has the power to exponentially increase this transgression. The tensions created have been described as forces moving towards borderless markets and global homogeneity and the rivaling process of localisation which originates in cultural, ethnic and linguistic boundaries. This paper discusses the impacts of globalisation on youth within different models of schooling, individualism versus community and the need for alternatives to existing models to provide visions of a transformed global society.

Created Date Tuesday, 29 April 2014
Modified Date Wednesday, 02 March 2016
Filesize 164 Kilobytes

Holistic Education and Futures Visions (Jennifer M. GIDLEY 2002)

This article raises serious questions about the adequacy of contemporary mainstream educational theory and processes to equip youth to construct and face their futures positively. Key educational 'futurists' have engaged in critical speculation about alternative forms of education which might better prepare youth for a rapidly changing and  uncertain future, whilst also considering the needs of future generations. Several researchers recommend more holistic, integrated teaching methods using imagination, visualization, pro-social skills and specific futures methodologies. Intriguingly, many of these are crucial aspects of Steiner education.

Created Date Wednesday, 30 April 2014
Modified Date Friday, 01 April 2016
Filesize 167 Kilobytes

Katanga DR Congo, La prospective est elle happée par le présent

LA PROSPECTIVE EST-ELLE HAPPÉE PAR LE PRÉSENT ?
Si la prospective s'efforce de faire dialoguer le présent et le futur, la prise en compte du passé semble bien plus importante qu'on ne le pense parfois pour se projeter dans l'avenir. Comment « doser » et s'appuyer sur les trois temps ? Qu'en est-il de la « prospective du présent », qui reste très discutée en France ?

Created Date Saturday, 02 April 2016
Modified Date Friday, 01 April 2016
Filesize 623 Kilobytes

Katanga DR Congo, Prospective Africaine, La Lettre 01

Informations et analyses du continent africain.
No. 01 - 23 December 2012

Vers des entites minieres coherentes?

Created Date Thursday, 01 May 2014
Modified Date Friday, 01 April 2016
Filesize 170 Kilobytes

Katanga, DR Congo, Au final, quels sont les apports de la prospective

AU FINAL, QUELS SONT LES APPORTS DE LA PROSPECTIVE ?

En examinant, comme nous venons de le faire, les fondements, les pratiques et les questions actuelles de la prospective, il apparaît que sa force et ses apports ne soient pas là où on les imagine de prime abord...
Une préparation et un accompagnement de l'action, mais pas seulement !
L'affirmation d'une prospective comme aide à la décision est énoncée dans de nombreuses définitions.
C'est par l'intermédiaire de l'aide à la décision que la prospective entrerait dans le champ de l'action. Mais cet objectif de la prospective ne doit pas faire oublier un autre apport qui nous parait essentiel : une compréhension renouvelée des objets en appliquant les célèbres principes de Gaston Berger : « voir loin », « voir large » et « voir en profondeur ».

Created Date Wednesday, 30 April 2014
Modified Date Friday, 01 April 2016
Filesize 220 Kilobytes

Katanga, DR Congo, Les sciences humaines et sociales et la prospective: une relation à construire Millenaire3

Les Sciences humaines et sociales pour mieux penser le présent et ses mutations
« Démarche empirique, connaissance pour l'action, la prospective n'a pas de prétentions.
Mais pour se développer, elle a besoin d'intégrer des savoirs pratiques et des savoirs experts, et, pour monter en généralité, elle requiert des capacités de conceptualisation et des outils méthodologiques » (Edith Heurgon, Docteur en Mathématiques appliquées). Les SHS sont à même d'apporter les connaissances -un socle d'outils et de concepts- dont la prospective a besoin pour mieux penser le pèsent et décrypter ses mutations.

Created Date Tuesday, 29 April 2014
Modified Date Friday, 01 April 2016
Filesize 216 Kilobytes

Katanga, DR Congo, Pourquoi faire de la prospective

POURQUOI FAIRE DE LA PROSPECTIVE ?
La prospective de l'action publique développée au Grand Lyon, la démarche Nantes 2030, la 27ème Région... Les démarches de prospective semblent se multiplier actuellement et partagent l'idée que l'avenir ne se prévoit pas mais se construit. Mais la variété et la fécondité de ces initiatives montrent qu'il n'existe pas « une seule et bonne manière de faire de la prospective » (Hugues de Jouvenel, prospectiviste). Depuis son émergence en France après la seconde guerre mondiale, la demande de prospective, bien que fluctuante, s'est toujours renouvelée. Revenons brièvement sur les fondements de la prospective, son histoire et ses raisons d'être.

Created Date Saturday, 02 April 2016
Modified Date Friday, 01 April 2016
Filesize 533 Kilobytes

Katanga, DR Congo, Prospective Africaine La Lettre

Prespective africaine - La Lettre - Informations et analyses du continent aftricain - No. 000 - 27/09/2012

Secession au Mali: Pour une issue politique, economique et sociale

Created Date Saturday, 02 April 2016
Modified Date Friday, 01 April 2016
Filesize 273 Kilobytes

Katanga, DR Congo, Quelle est la place de Monsieur et Madame Tout le Monde dans l'exercice de prospective ?

Millenaire, le Centre Ressources du Grand Lyon

Lundi 25 Mars 2013

Dès son origine, la prospective s'interroge sur la place de M. ou Mme Tout le Monde dans ses activités. Gaston Berger pose la prospective comme un échange ouvert sur un sujet donné, à partir d'expériences et de points de vue différents.

Created Date Wednesday, 30 April 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 220 Kilobytes

L’évolution de la conscience (Jennifer M. GIDLEY 2013)

Ces dernières années ont vu les penseurs de pointe de nombreux domaines de travail érudit (comprenant la science de la complexité, l'écologie, l'éducation, la prospective, les études intégrales, la philosophie, la psychologie, la spiritualité et la théorie des systèmes) proclamer que les modes de pensée du siècle dernier, fragmentés, mécanistes et matérialistes, ne sont plus soutenables, durables.
Comme le disait Einstein il y a un siècle « les problèmes importants que nous avons ne peuvent être résolus au même niveau de pensée que celui qui les a créés »

Created Date Friday, 02 May 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 1.88 Megabytes

Macrohistory and City Futures (Phillip DAFFARA 2004)

Where our cities are headed is a question being investigated globally by many stakeholders of our urban futures. This piece examines the possible, probable and plausible futures of the city, and what these may look like. the method used to extrapolate these futures is macrohistorical analysis. Positioning the current state of our globalised cities within different models of cultural/historical change gives us the grand patterns for the future of the city. The conclusion shows the ways in which the city is a tangible cultural product of civilisation and how the city can be positively used as a catalyst towards the development of a planetary human civilisation.

Created Date Tuesday, 29 April 2014
Modified Date Wednesday, 02 March 2016
Filesize 215 Kilobytes

Postformal Priorities for Postnormal Times (Jennifer M. GIDLEY 2010)

A postformal response to an article by Ziauddin Sardar using complementary views as expressions of the complex truths of multiperspectivality. This involves discussion of notions of progress, development, evolutions and co-evolutions from different points of view as an opener to coming to terms with complexity. How can complexity and paradox be understood as paths to wisdom? This is a call to embrace the richness of complexity and play with - rather than fear - the paradox of planetary pluralism.

Created Date Saturday, 02 April 2016
Modified Date Friday, 01 April 2016
Filesize 208 Kilobytes

Psychology of the Future Outline (Tom LOMBARDO 2014)

The Psychology of the Future: Flourishing in the Flow of Evolution

Part One
The Question: How Do We Create a Good Future?
• The Central Challenge of Human Life & the Central Issue Motivating the Study of the Future
• The Answer I propose is:
We create a good future—defined as flourishing in the flow of evolution—through the heightening of future consciousness, which is achieved by developing a core set of character virtues, most notably and centrally wisdom.

Created Date Wednesday, 30 April 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 421 Kilobytes

Scenarios for Democratic Governance 2030 (Sohail INAYATULLAH 2013)

Visions and Scenarios for Democratic Governance in Asia 2030

Sohail Inayatulah, Professor, Tamkang University, Taiwan and Macquarie University, Australia. www.meta-future.org and www.metafuture.oog

"Democratic governance will thrive in Asia, once Asian narratives – myths and metaphors – are used to provide support and give meaning to it."

"Democratic governance in 2030 will be radically different from how we see it today. We need new lenses to see the future."

"Democratic governance will keep on changing as new technologies, demographic shifts and geopolitical transitions challenge reality – prepare for flux!"

Created Date Wednesday, 30 April 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 1.28 Megabytes

Social and Emotional Education in Australia (Jennifer M. GIDLEY 2011)

This paper seeks to offer a broad, Australian perspective on innovative approaches to education
that may facilitate the social and emotional education of children. The paper begins with
a brief overview of the unique history of education in Australia, followed by a discussion of the youth mental health crisis during the 1990s. Several phases of development of social
and emotional education in Australia and an overview of many kinds of approaches,
including both explicit, curricular programmes and implicit, contextual and whole
system approaches. Three case studies are then discussed: a whole system approach (Steiner
education system), a whole population approach (all Australian five-year olds) and a targeted
programme (for those experiencing grief and loss).

Created Date Friday, 02 May 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 319 Kilobytes

Sustainable City Futures (Phillip DAFFARA 2004)

Book chapter within The CLA Reader.

Based on a world centric view, the sustainable development of our cities needs to be implemented with new thinking, facilitating the human progression of its citizens through the Spiral of Development and its evolutionary frames of reference - requiring intervention at all levels of the city. Currently sustainable development is practiced within a milieu of competing systemic frames of reference, and this struggle is consuming our focus rather the achieving tangible outcomes. Causal Layered Analysis (CLA) is useful here, in that it is able to probe through these frames of reference (or systemic levels of reality) seeking causal linkages and contradictions.

Created Date Thursday, 03 March 2016
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 35 Kilobytes

Women in Futures Studies (Jim DATOR 1992)

Women in Futures Studies and Women's Visions of the Futures - One Man's Tentative View

An article by James Dator