Created Date Tuesday, 29 April 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 174 Kilobytes

Certificate in Strategic Foresight, Bishop Hines 2012 Products

Certificate in Strategic Foresight
Course products (revised)
P Bishop/A Hines, 5/23/12

University of Houston


This document contains the detailed instructions for completing the projects for the Certificate in
Strategic Foresight. Those who complete the projects successfully will receive the Certificate of
Achievement from the University of Houston.


Overall Objective: Use the skills taught in this course and apply them to one's own enterprise in an integrated manner.

Created Date Thursday, 03 March 2016
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 290 Kilobytes

City Futures for City Leaders Penang

Article by Shermon Cruz and Cesar H. Villanueva on a City Futures workshop held in Penang and supported by WFSF and the UNESCO Participation Programme 2012-2013. 

Created Date Tuesday, 29 April 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 37 Kilobytes

MER Budapest, Education and Future

CORVINUS UNIVERSITY OF BUDAPEST
Futures Studies Department

EDUCATION AND FUTURE
– elective graduate course –

Professor in charge: Éva Hideg and Erzsébet Nováky

13 week course

Created Date Tuesday, 29 April 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 86 Kilobytes

MER Futures Research, Peter Bishop

University of Houston, Department of Futures Studies


Course Title: Futures Research


Overview
Futures Research is a survey course about the methods and tools that professional futurists use to help people anticipate and influence the future. It is a core course in the Futures Studies program. It covers methods and tools used by forecasters in general as well as by professional futurists. It also covers the techniques that futurists use more than others to forecast the future, particularly creating scenarios of the future, and the techniques used by futurists and consultants alike to help people influence the future, particularly visions, strategic plans, and change management programs.

Created Date Tuesday, 29 April 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 41 Kilobytes

MER Futures Syllabus, Chris Jones

FUTURES STUDIES
POLS 396
Syllabus – Mesa State College

Spring 2007 Dr. Christopher Jones
MWF 1:00 - 1:50 P.M. Office: Lowell Heiny Hall 427
Houston Hall 233 Office Hours: 11 A.M.-1 P.M. MWF
E-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. Office: 970-248-1569

Course Overview and Rationale
Introduction to Future Studies surveys the origins, founders and history of the futures studies movement, examines the methods and techniques of the field, covers basic assumptions and theories, and focuses on some of the basic skills and tools. In other words, the course is designed to explore the scope of Futures Studies as a field, discuss where and how it developed, how it has shaped and continues to shape its assumptions, who contributed the basic ideas and methods, where it seems to be going, and what it seems to be avoiding.

15 week course

Created Date Tuesday, 29 April 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 68 Kilobytes

MER International Futures Syllabus, Barry Hughes

University of Denver, Graduate School of International Studies

INTS 3701: International Futures

Significant forces reshape the socio-political world much like tectonic plates restructure the geological world. These include the ICT (Information and Communication Technology) revolution and other technological change, the demographic/agricultural transitions, financial globalization, the energy transition from fossil fuels, atmospheric carbon build-up, reshaping of value systems, and global democratization. Serious analysis of global affairs requires an understanding of these forces, the primary issues to which they give rise, and the debates over country-specific and multilateral policy responses to the issues. This course surveys key forces and provides analytical tools from a broad range of disciplines to facilitate better understanding of them and the dynamics of their interaction.

Created Date Wednesday, 30 April 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 45 Kilobytes

MER Learning Outcome Definitions, Peter Bishop

Futures Studies
University of Houston
http://tech.uh.edu/futureweb/

Learning Outcomes

A document detailing the skills and abilities expected of a person who has a graduate degree in Futures Studies.

Created Date Tuesday, 29 April 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 129 Kilobytes

MER Peace Education: Understanding and Negotiating Conflict, Ivana Milosevic

PEACE EDUCATION:
UNDERSTANDING AND NEGOTIATING CONFLICTS IN OUR SCHOOLS, FAMILIES AND COMMUNITIES
EDUC2040 COURSE PROFILE
The University of Queensland

COURSE OVERVIEW

This course provides a critical overview of theoretical and applied principles of Peace Education. It begins by introducing students to historical and contemporary views of peace and security as well as to views of the roots of violence and conflict. It then discusses peace, conflict and violence in educational settings. As well, this course explores the role of violence in our lives and the lives of others and how peace education can help deal with this violence. Students are then introduced to various case studies (community, whole school and classroom approaches) and skills for practical conflict resolution.

The course will help students further their understanding of the sources and roles of conflict, violence and peace. It will facilitate dealing with violence and conflict creatively and pro-actively. It will also prepare them to teach about and practice peace, nonviolence, and conflict resolution in their workplaces, families and communities.

Created Date Tuesday, 29 April 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 48 Kilobytes

MER Pro-seminar in Futures Studies, Peter Bishop

University of Houston, Department of Futures Studies


Course Title:Pro-Seminar


Overview
The Proseminar in Futures Studies is the last or almost the last course that most students take in the futures program. Therefore, its primary objective is to help students make the transition from being a futures student to being a futures professional. Even those who will not become full-time futures professionals (perhaps because they already have a career) still need to begin practicing their old careers in new ways.

Created Date Tuesday, 29 April 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 54 Kilobytes

MER Reform vs Strategy, Riel Miller

Sciences Po
Masters in Public Affairs 2005-2006

Syllabus, 1st semester
Reform versus Strategy: Making Choices at the End of the Administrative Era


Instructor: Riel Miller

Course Description:
Today, with some urgency and perplexity, decision makers in all sectors and all levels are searching for policies that can:
• reconcile greater individual freedom with collective choices;
• embrace greater diversity without inviting fragmentation & chaos;
• foster greater creativity without increasing burn-out & stress;
• inspire responsibility;
• motivate change without resorting to fear;
• manage risk without hierarchy;
• combine respect for complexity while still gaining depth of understanding

Created Date Tuesday, 29 April 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 100 Kilobytes

MER Schools That Learn: Creating Futures That Matter, Ivana Milosevic

SCHOOLS THAT LEARN: CREATING FUTURES THAT MATTER
EDUC7036 Course Profile
The University of Queensland

COURSE OVERVIEW

There is widespread perception in Australia, and indeed, all over the world, that our education systems are failing to prepare young people for the very different world they will inhabit in the not so distant future. Yet accurately predicting the future is not possible. What can be done? One response is to build a whole range of resources from the field of Futures Studies into educational structures, processes and curricula. These resources include futures concepts, futures tools and teaching techniques. Such starting points provide the means to create new units, modules and indeed whole futures oriented curricula. These tools are also useful for those who wish to introduce a futures focus within other subjects, and for those whose interest lies in educational leadership or administration rather than curriculum.

Created Date Tuesday, 29 April 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 67 Kilobytes

MER Strategic Planning, Peter Bishop

University of Houston, Department of Futures Studies
Course Title: Strategic Planning

Overview

The study of the future consists of two main activities--forecasting (describing) likely and other plausible future conditions and influencing (changing) those conditions to be as close to our ideal as possible. This course focuses on the latter, influencing or changing the future. First, we understand the role of values in creating preferred futures. Then, we look at various approaches to envisioning preferred futures. Next, we explore how to create a plan to achieve that vision, and how change management can help facilitate the change.

Created Date Tuesday, 29 April 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 94 Kilobytes

MER The Art of Forecasting, Barry Hughes

Universtiy of Denver, Graduate School of International Studies

INTS 4345 (CRN#2364): The Art of Forecasting

There is a strong need in both the private and public sectors for individuals who (1) understand how forecasting is done in order to interpret and evaluate it and (2) can themselves develop and present forecasts of various kinds in support of policy analysis and decision-making. The objective of this course is to help students acquire such skills and an understanding of their strengths, weaknesses, and applicability.

Created Date Wednesday, 30 April 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 36 Kilobytes

PB10 Baseline Analysis The Epistemology of Scenario Development, Peter Bishop

Introduction
The core principle of strategic foresight is that the future is multiple not singular. Futurists describe the future as a set of plausible alternatives (scenarios) rather than as the single-valued prediction that other forecasters prefer. Policy makers and the public at large prefer predictions because they are simple and easy to grasp. Predictions are singular just like the present or at least the way people experience it. If there is to be one present in the future, then it seems logical that there is one future that will become that present and that the task of forecasting is to figure out which one of it is. And finally, people prefer predictions because they are supported by evidence, just like inferences in history and science. Predicting the future is seen as the application of modern science to human affairs.

Created Date Wednesday, 30 April 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 63 Kilobytes

PB11 Leadership, Peter Bishop

Transformational change requires leaders. Would that the situation was so bad or that the opportunity so great that change would erupt all by itself. Alas, such hope is unfounded. Any significant change always begins with one person (or a few) raising their hand and saying, "This can be better. This needs to be better." In doing so, they are often taking enormous risk. They are stepping out of line. They are going up against the establishment and the status quo. They are disturbing people's comfort zone and their ability to go on with business as usual.

Created Date Tuesday, 29 April 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 57 Kilobytes

PB12 Visioning, Peter Bishop

University of Houston, Certificate in Strategic Foresight
Visioning
P Bishop, 12/1/10

A vision is the guiding principle in a long-term transformational change process undertaken by choice. A vision is a simple yet precious commodity. It can mean the difference between successful and unsuccessful transformation change.

Created Date Tuesday, 29 April 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 185 Kilobytes

PB13 Planning, Peter Bishop

University of Houston, Certificate in Strategic Foresight
Strategic Planning
P Bishop, 12/27/00

Introduction
Strategic planning is the process by which most people deal with the future. Introduced in the early 1980s, it was considered to be the sine qua non of effective long-term success. The gleam of its once high promise has faded as people realize that it does contain the magic bullet they were looking for. Since then, enterprises have moved off to Total Quality Management (TQM), Business Process Re-engineering (BPR), Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP), Customer Relationship Management (CRM) or whatever is the latest in the alphabet soup of three-letter fads.

Created Date Tuesday, 29 April 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 64 Kilobytes

PB14 Creating Change, Peter Bishop

University of Houston, Certificate in Strategic Foresight
Creating change
P Bishop, 9/6/09

The task
Strategic foresight requires two parallel skills – anticipating change coming at us from the world and creating change within our own spheres of influence. This talk is about the latter.

Created Date Tuesday, 29 April 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 997 Kilobytes

PB2 Change, Peter Bishop

University of Houston, Certificate in Strategic Foresight
Change
P Bishop, Jan 2011

The world is changing at an apparently dizzying pace. The 20th century produced upheavals that changed all our lives--changes in population, technology, the economy, the environment, governance, social values--all on a global scale. These changes tore down traditions, shifted world-views, promoted a truly global economy, created the Internet, established world-wide media influence, and changed fashion, lifestyles, parenting, politics, crime, climate, and an untold number of other things. And that was just the 20th century. The 21st century has already brought us more astounding changes--the attacks on the World Trade Center, ubiquitous hand-held wireless communication and computing, the greatest recession in 80 years and novel biological forms and treatments.

Created Date Tuesday, 29 April 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 548 Kilobytes

PB3 The Future, Peter Bishop

University of Houston, Certificate in Strategic Foresight
The future
P Bishop, Jan 2011

Introduction
The last unit was about change—how it occurs through the actions of the world and through our own actions. The next two units are about the future, a specific portion of the timeline from the past through the present, and how we are to deal with it.

We deal with the future by doing two things, given the two sources of change discussed in the previous unit – changes coming from the world (inbound) and changes we create ourselves (outbound). The questions then are: "What can we know about the future?" and "What can we do about it?"

Created Date Tuesday, 29 April 2014
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 247 Kilobytes

PB4 Anticipation, Peter Bishop

University of Houston, Certificate in Strategic Foresight
Anticipating the future
P Bishop, Jan 2011

Introduction
The future develops out of the combined influences of the world and of ourselves. Futurists deal with each of these sources of change in the two branches of their field -- describing what might happen in the future (inbound change) and then influencing those outcomes toward more preferred futures (outbound change).

This first unit, describing the future, is entitled Anticipating the Future. Anticipation is a better word than describing or even forecasting because it's active. It carries the connotation of expectation, of leaning forward, of waiting for something. It's how a tennis player waits for the serve; how a child feels on Christmas morning; what a mother does in the last month of her pregnancy. Waiting (and wanting) for the future to come, oh so quickly.

Created Date Friday, 01 April 2016
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 190 Kilobytes

PB5 Social Change, Peter Bishop

University of Houston, Teaching about the Future
Social Change
P Bishop, 9/1/09

Social change is fact of our time, perhaps even a fact of all times. There are those who believe that change is the fundamental reality. Heraclitus, an ancient Greek philosopher, famously said, "You cannot step into the same river twice." The river is different, and you are different, moment to moment. So everything in the world is in continuous motion, no doubt.

Created Date Sunday, 03 April 2016
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 226 Kilobytes

PB6 Forecasting, Peter Bishop

University of Houston, Teaching about the Future
Forecasting
P Bishop, 2/16/10

Purpose
The desire to know the future is as ancient as humans themselves. It is our unique ability to conceive of states that are not present to us at the moment that got people thinking about the future (and about the past). And just as history was based on myth and legend before the first historians (Herodotus and Thucydides) decided to write down exactly what happened, so trying to know the future (forecasting) was based on set of beliefs and superstitions that were of little use, except perhaps to make people feel better. Some wonder whether we are much better today with our fast computers and Internet resources!

Created Date Sunday, 03 April 2016
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 263 Kilobytes

PB7 Horizon Scanning, Peter Bishop

University of Houston, Horizon Scanning Why is it so hard?

Dr. Peter Bishop
University of Houston

September 2009

Introduction
Surprise is an odd emotion. We like to be surprised–an unexpected visit from a friend, a gift from our spouse, a beautiful spring day. Sometimes we even pay to be surprised–at the fair or the cinema. But surprise is not a good thing at work. Being surprised means that we expected something to happen that didn't or something to not happen that did. It's just not right even when the surprise is a good thing,. We are supposed to know what is going on and what is about to happen all time--to know and be prepared for everything that occurs. We are never supposed to be surprised.

Created Date Friday, 01 April 2016
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 265 Kilobytes

PB8 Framework Forecasting, Peter Bishop

University of Houston, Framework Forecasting
Managing Uncertainty and Influencing the Future

Second Prague Workshop On Futures Studies Methodology
Charles University, Czech Republic
October 2005

Overview
The methods of futures studies deal with change in all its variety, and for two purposes: to understand change and to influence it. Understanding change means describing expected and other plausible future states, for which we need to prepare. Influencing change means to bring about the best possible future for ourselves and others given the time and resources we have available. People who understand the dynamics of change and the changes that are going on around them are not often surprised. People who then influence those dynamics toward their vision of a better future will have a greater change of getting that better future.

Created Date Friday, 01 April 2016
Modified Date Thursday, 31 March 2016
Filesize 101 Kilobytes

PB9 Critical Thinking, Peter Bishop

University of Houston, Critical Thinking
Introduction, FAQ
P Bishop, 03/31/16

1. What is critical thinking?

Critical thinking is a process of discovering and testing the support for conclusions . More specifically, it is the answer to the question, "How can this conclusion be wrong?" Just as we test machines by putting them under stress, so we investigate a conclusion's support to find out all the ways that the conclusion might be wrong.